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The Sovereign Gold Bond (SGB) scheme, launched by the Indian government in 2015, was initially hailed as a powerful tool to reduce gold imports and offer an attractive investment option for Indians. However, with soaring gold prices, the scheme has evolved into a significant financial burden for the government. As of March 20, 2025, the outstanding liability for 130 tonnes of gold bonds is estimated at ₹67,322 crore, highlighting a substantial increase in the government's financial obligations over the years.
Sovereign Gold Bonds are a type of gold investment instrument issued by the Reserve Bank of India on behalf of the Indian government. Designed to mobilize capital and reduce dependence on physical gold imports, the SGBs offer investors a chance to own gold in digital form with attractive returns, including a fixed interest rate and capital gains at maturity.
However, the recent surge in gold prices has significantly impacted the government's financial position. The price of gold in India has risen from about ₹2,500 per gram in 2015 to over ₹9,300 per gram in 2025, boosting investor returns but escalating the government's liability[1][4].
The Indian government has issued 67 tranches of SGBs, totaling 146.96 tonnes of gold by the end of the financial year 2024-25. Out of this, 130 tonnes remain outstanding, with a liability of approximately ₹67,322 crore as of March 20, 2025[4][5]. This figure represents a considerable increase from the liability of ₹6,664 crore in 2017-18, marking a 930% rise over seven years[1][4].
The financial strain on the government is evident in its decision to halt new SGB issuances. The last issuance occurred in February 2024, and there are indications that the scheme might be discontinued due to rising liabilities[2][4].
To mitigate potential losses, the Reserve Bank of India has accumulated a significant gold reserve. By building up its gold holdings to 879 tonnes, the RBI has created a strategic hedge against SGB liabilities. This strategy has generated mark-to-market gains of $20 billion, which could help offset some of the costs associated with the SGB scheme[2].
As of March 20, 2025, bonds equivalent to only about 16.96 tonnes of gold have been fully redeemed by the government. The remaining 130 tonnes pose a considerable challenge for the government, especially if gold prices continue to rise[2][3].
To address the immediate redemption needs, the government has allocated significant funds to the Gold Reserve Fund (GRF). In FY25, ₹28,605 crore was transferred to this fund, up from ₹3,550 crore in FY24. These funds are intended to cover a substantial portion of the outstanding SGBs, providing full redemption coverage for about 60-65 tonnes of gold over the next 4-5 years[3].
Given the financial strain and policy challenges, there is uncertainty surrounding the future continuation of the SGB scheme. While it has been highly successful for investors, the government faces a daunting task in managing these liabilities as the bonds mature by 2032[4]. The decision on whether to continue the scheme will be influenced by several factors:
The Sovereign Gold Bond scheme, while successful for investors, has presented significant financial challenges for the Indian government. With rising gold prices and substantial redemption liabilities, the government must carefully evaluate its options moving forward. As the world watches gold markets closely, the fate of the SGB scheme will depend on the government's ability to navigate these complex financial dynamics.
FAQs on Sovereign Gold Bonds:
What are Sovereign Gold Bonds?
Sovereign Gold Bonds are issued by the Reserve Bank of India on behalf of the Indian government. They allow investors to buy gold in a digital form with various advantages over physical gold investment.
How much gold is outstanding in SGBs?
Currently, about 130 tonnes of gold remain outstanding in the form of SGBs.
Why has the government's liability increased?
The main reasons are rising gold prices and interest payments on the bonds.
Will the government discontinue the SGB scheme?
There are indications that the government might discontinue issuing new SGBs due to financial pressures, but no official announcement has been made yet.
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