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Real Estate
The Indian housing market has experienced a mixed performance in the first quarter of 2025, reflecting broader trends of market correction amidst economic uncertainties. Housing sales across nine major cities in India have seen a significant decline, but there are notable exceptions where two key metros have bucked this trend. This dynamic landscape offers insights into the challenges and opportunities present in India's real estate sector.
Housing sales in India's top nine cities have dropped by an impressive 23% in the first quarter of 2025, compared to the same period in 2024. This downturn is primarily attributed to high real estate prices, geopolitical tensions, and cautious investor sentiment. However, not all cities are experiencing this slump. Bengaluru and Delhi NCR, two prominent metros, have shown a 10% increase in housing sales, defying the broader market trend.
The supply of new housing units has also seen a significant drop, falling by 34% to 80,774 units in the first quarter of 2025, compared to 1,22,365 units in the same period last year. This marks three consecutive quarters where new launches have been below 1 lakh units. Bengaluru is an exception here as well, with a 17% increase in supply to 20,227 units, accounting for 25% of the total launches[1][2][5].
Several factors are driving the current housing market dynamics:
Despite the drop in sales and supply, the absorption-to-supply ratio remains healthy at 131% in Q1 2025. This indicates strong demand in the market, suggesting that while there may be short-term challenges, there are also opportunities for stabilization and growth as developers adjust their strategies[2][4].
The Indian housing market's mixed performance in the first quarter of 2025 reflects broader economic and geopolitical uncertainties. While most cities are experiencing declines in sales, the growth in Bengaluru and Delhi NCR offers optimism. As the market navigates these challenges, the resilience of the sector, supported by strong demand indicators, suggests potential for future stabilization.
